Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 11.876818 13.639068 15.523547 17.683057 20.083497 22.664027 25.641998
2025-10-05 9.603493 12.011829 14.764219 18.120733 22.080280 26.578861 32.051314
2025-10-12 8.168371 10.909459 14.203846 18.410402 23.590526 29.710513 37.432607
2025-10-19 7.053357 9.973054 13.637193 18.500881 24.707177 32.276904 42.112889
2025-10-26 5.966661 8.906018 12.747824 18.033405 24.999980 33.743414 45.404053
2025-11-02 5.138488 8.068012 12.043651 17.694854 25.363071 35.234225 48.702882
2025-11-09 4.444947 7.327660 11.382592 17.326146 25.611637 36.528427 51.736067
2025-11-16 3.877348 6.699687 10.808096 17.006822 25.867953 37.796235 54.730879
2025-11-23 3.340833 6.054148 10.141990 16.488916 25.787801 38.568119 57.045844
2025-11-30 3.032470 5.730173 9.918030 16.582496 26.553176 40.499067 60.971737
2025-12-07 2.753538 5.421624 9.686206 16.635977 27.243444 42.328331 64.793004
2025-12-14 2.535098 5.190013 9.551642 16.818448 28.116098 44.428348 69.039744
2025-12-21 2.295284 4.898658 9.301661 16.809180 28.706421 46.155240 72.835402
2025-12-28 2.159119 4.779366 9.324376 17.230167 29.964968 48.891778 78.159864
2026-01-04 2.011416 4.621362 9.265907 17.508121 31.002560 51.323447 83.097742
2026-01-11 1.847742 4.413520 9.102098 17.594943 31.731735 53.304390 87.414345
2026-01-18 1.622814 4.056393 8.642102 17.146401 31.571163 53.915755 89.691741
2026-01-25 1.440110 3.762664 8.270910 16.821616 31.585813 54.780854 92.356114
2026-02-01 1.273913 3.482302 7.899459 16.467953 31.526662 55.515224 94.824677
2026-02-08 1.131269 3.234761 7.568466 16.161703 31.524504 56.326524 97.417838
2026-02-15 0.984245 2.956068 7.150504 15.665096 31.165824 56.544845 99.078587
2026-02-22 0.909765 2.840324 7.050882 15.754820 31.822340 58.413095 103.368654
2026-03-01 0.838262 2.722233 6.935999 15.806098 32.408169 60.176201 107.527253